Files
Shadowbroker/backend/services/intel_feeds/country_risk.py
T
BigBodyCobain af9b3d08cc feat: Telegram OSINT map layer, Osiris intel ports, and maritime settings
Add Telegram OSINT with hourly incremental t.me scraping, metro geocoding
separate from news centroids, threat-intercept popup UI with inline media,
and HTML markers above alert boxes so pins stay clickable. Expose GFW_API_TOKEN
in onboarding and Settings Maritime; harden GFW/CCTV/geo fetchers. Port Osiris-
derived recon, SCM, entity graph, malware/cyber feeds, sanctions, and submarine
cable layers with tests and documentation.

Co-authored-by: Cursor <cursoragent@cursor.com>
2026-06-08 21:04:08 -06:00

95 lines
4.4 KiB
Python

"""Country risk index (static scores + USGS quake enrichment)."""
from __future__ import annotations
from datetime import datetime, timezone
from typing import Any
from zoneinfo import ZoneInfo
from services.network_utils import fetch_with_curl
RISK_FACTORS: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {
"UA": {"base": 85, "tags": ["active_conflict", "infrastructure_damage"]},
"RU": {"base": 72, "tags": ["sanctions", "military_mobilization"]},
"IL": {"base": 78, "tags": ["active_conflict", "regional_instability"]},
"PS": {"base": 90, "tags": ["active_conflict", "humanitarian_crisis"]},
"SY": {"base": 82, "tags": ["post_conflict", "infrastructure_damage"]},
"YE": {"base": 88, "tags": ["active_conflict", "humanitarian_crisis"]},
"MM": {"base": 76, "tags": ["civil_unrest", "military_junta"]},
"SD": {"base": 84, "tags": ["active_conflict", "humanitarian_crisis"]},
"AF": {"base": 80, "tags": ["post_conflict", "governance_collapse"]},
"KP": {"base": 70, "tags": ["nuclear_risk", "isolation"]},
"IR": {"base": 68, "tags": ["sanctions", "nuclear_program", "regional_proxy"]},
"CN": {"base": 35, "tags": ["strategic_competition", "taiwan_tensions"]},
"TW": {"base": 45, "tags": ["invasion_risk", "semiconductor_dependency"]},
"VE": {"base": 60, "tags": ["economic_collapse", "political_instability"]},
"HT": {"base": 85, "tags": ["gang_violence", "governance_collapse"]},
"LB": {"base": 65, "tags": ["economic_crisis", "political_deadlock"]},
"PK": {"base": 55, "tags": ["terrorism", "political_instability"]},
"SO": {"base": 82, "tags": ["terrorism", "state_fragility"]},
"LY": {"base": 72, "tags": ["divided_government", "militia_control"]},
"ET": {"base": 62, "tags": ["ethnic_tensions", "regional_conflicts"]},
}
EXCHANGES = [
{"name": "NYSE", "tz": "America/New_York", "open": 9.5, "close": 16, "country": "US"},
{"name": "NASDAQ", "tz": "America/New_York", "open": 9.5, "close": 16, "country": "US"},
{"name": "LSE", "tz": "Europe/London", "open": 8, "close": 16.5, "country": "GB"},
{"name": "TSE", "tz": "Asia/Tokyo", "open": 9, "close": 15, "country": "JP"},
{"name": "SSE", "tz": "Asia/Shanghai", "open": 9.5, "close": 15, "country": "CN"},
{"name": "HKEX", "tz": "Asia/Hong_Kong", "open": 9.5, "close": 16, "country": "HK"},
{"name": "FRA", "tz": "Europe/Berlin", "open": 8, "close": 20, "country": "DE"},
{"name": "TSX", "tz": "America/Toronto", "open": 9.5, "close": 16, "country": "CA"},
{"name": "MOEX", "tz": "Europe/Moscow", "open": 10, "close": 18.5, "country": "RU"},
]
def _exchange_open(ex: dict[str, Any]) -> bool:
try:
now = datetime.now(ZoneInfo(ex["tz"]))
if now.weekday() >= 5:
return False
decimal = now.hour + now.minute / 60
return ex["open"] <= decimal < ex["close"]
except Exception:
return False
def build_country_risk_payload() -> dict[str, Any]:
quake_risks: dict[str, float] = {}
try:
resp = fetch_with_curl(
"https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/v1.0/summary/4.5_day.geojson",
timeout=5,
)
if resp.status_code == 200:
for f in resp.json().get("features") or []:
place = (f.get("properties") or {}).get("place") or ""
mag = (f.get("properties") or {}).get("mag") or 0
for code in RISK_FACTORS:
if code.lower() in place.lower():
quake_risks[code] = quake_risks.get(code, 0) + mag
except Exception:
pass
countries = []
for code, data in RISK_FACTORS.items():
base = data["base"]
score = min(100, base + quake_risks.get(code, 0))
countries.append(
{
"code": code,
"risk_score": score,
"risk_level": "CRITICAL" if base >= 80 else "HIGH" if base >= 60 else "ELEVATED" if base >= 40 else "LOW",
"tags": data["tags"],
}
)
countries.sort(key=lambda c: c["risk_score"], reverse=True)
exchanges = [{"name": e["name"], "country": e["country"], "open": _exchange_open(e)} for e in EXCHANGES]
return {
"countries": countries,
"exchanges": exchanges,
"open_exchanges": sum(1 for e in exchanges if e["open"]),
"total_exchanges": len(exchanges),
"timestamp": datetime.now(timezone.utc).isoformat(),
}