Split SynthID campaign docs by detector, classifiers, and removal

Keep Model 1 as a research AI-versus-camera result outside the library.
Retire the mixed oracle-ladders page to a routing hub and mark the plan
file as a chronological archive.
This commit is contained in:
Victor Kuznetsov
2026-08-22 21:04:06 -07:00
parent e74b06d1a0
commit 99146cf2de
13 changed files with 1567 additions and 26 deletions
+14 -2
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@@ -64,6 +64,14 @@ identity or exact texture, and each then runs the same face stage.
`qwen-zimage` is the higher fidelity of the two. Both are large, slow, and may
still alter small text or difficult faces.
Camera-pipeline tricks and mild geometry do not replace regeneration for
OpenAI SynthID. On 2026-08-22 the official verifier still returned
`detected` after Bayer mosaic plus bilinear or VNG demosaic, an upscale-
then-Bayer round trip, barrel distortion, and scanline jitter. 16-32 px
phase scramble still flipped the same seeds at similar or better PSNR.
Those attacks are closed as quiet removers. Numbers:
[synthid-removal-research.md](synthid-removal-research.md).
### The experimental pixel route reads a pipeline lattice, not the watermark
Signed provenance is the primary and supported route for SynthID in this
@@ -94,8 +102,12 @@ The published control rates for this route were all measured on photographs.
Against other generators' output, which is the population a provenance tool is
actually pointed at, the shipped runtime accepted 29 of 223 signed non-Google
images on 2026-08-16: 13.0% overall, 24.1% on Adobe Firefly, with a top score
of 3.01 against a threshold of 1.0. Treat a positive as evidence only when the
alternative generators have been ruled out by other means.
of 3.01 against a threshold of 1.0. A 2026-08-22 re-check of the same
production entry point on frozen holdouts found Firefly 15/84 and PixelBin
11/80, with photographs at 0/24 Kodak and 0/60 Open Images, and a two-pixel
crop removing every sampled positive. Treat a positive as evidence of the
Google-lineage renderer family, not Gemini and not a watermark, and only
when the alternative generators have been ruled out by other means.
Sensitivity has only ever been reported on images the route was calibrated
against. The first out-of-distribution measurement was taken on 2026-08-16: 11